O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
1º
14
6º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
OKF
78%
13%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
OKF
0 - 3
COO
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WWF
0 - 6
OKF
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OKF
3 - 3
GUN
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 1
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
GUN
3 - 0
TUG
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
TUG
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TUG
3 - 4
COO
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 2
TUG
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 3
CAN
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |