O'Connor Knights vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
52.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
1º
35
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
5 - 1
TUG
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
OKF
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
1 - 1
CAN
12%
15%
73%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
3 - 1
BEL
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WWF
0 - 2
MON
14%
18%
69%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
GUN
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
COO
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUN
0 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |