O'Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
1º
36
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
9 - 0
WWF
86%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 4
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
OKF
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OKF
3 - 0
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
OKF
78%
13%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
CAN
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
COO
2 - 2
CAN
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
TUG
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 5
GUN
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 0
WWF
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |