O'Connor Knights vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
0 - 2
YOO
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 5
GUN
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
2 - 3
TUG
67%
17%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
QCS
3 - 2
OKF
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 5
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TUG
1 - 7
CAN
7%
14%
79%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 0
COO
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 5
GUN
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
QCS
0 - 2
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |