O'Connor Knights vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
43.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
1º
35
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
COO
1 - 4
OKF
61%
18%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
1 - 0
CAN
51%
20%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
9 - 0
WWF
86%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 4
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
OKF
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAN
21%
19%
60%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
7 - 1
TUG
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 3
GUN
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WWF
2 - 4
CAN
6%
11%
83%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |