O'Connor Knights vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 4
GUN
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
OKF
68%
17%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COO
2 - 2
OKF
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WWF
1 - 0
OKF
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 0
BEL
50%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAN
10%
15%
74%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
GUN
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
7 - 0
COO
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 5
CAN
11%
16%
74%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |