Ockero vs Jonsered analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
59.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
13º
13º
28
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ockero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OCK
2 - 2
SAV
26%
21%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
OCK
85%
9%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OCK
0 - 3
HFF
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IKT
2 - 0
OCK
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 4
FRO
14%
17%
68%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Jonsered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 1
JON
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
JON
2 - 1
LIS
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
JON
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
JON
2 - 5
QVI
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JON
1 - 1
BIK
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |