Olympique Khouribga vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
8º
49
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Khouribga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ROZ
1 - 2
OCK
39%
29%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OCK
1 - 0
DIF
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
OCK
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OCK
0 - 1
MEK
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
OCK
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
USM
1 - 1
RAJ
48%
29%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CBG
1 - 1
USM
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
DIF
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MEK
1 - 0
USM
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |