CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Olympique Khouribga vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Khouribga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
MAG
2 - 1
OCK
38%
31%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASE
0 - 0
OCK
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FAR
2 - 1
OCK
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
OCK
1 - 1
KAW
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SET
2 - 0
OCK
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
ASE
0 - 0
JCA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 3
ASE
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASE
0 - 0
OCK
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SOA
0 - 0
ASE
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
ASE
1 - 0
STA
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |