Ocelotes de la UNACH vs Isleños del Carmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAT
0 - 2
OUN
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
OUN
2 - 0
CDA
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 2
OUN
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CIE
0 - 3
OUN
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
OUN
2 - 2
GLA
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Isleños del Carmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 0
GLA
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
62%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ISL
0 - 2
ORI
17%
23%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CHI
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 0
CUA
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +4 |