Ocelotes de la UNACH vs Nuevo Chimalhuacán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 0
OUN
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
OUN
4 - 1
SAH
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAF
0 - 2
OUN
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +5 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
OUN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
OUN
0 - 2
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
CCM
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GLA
0 - 4
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 0
CDA
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |