Ocean Pacifique vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocean Pacifique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
OPA
0 - 1
TPM
52%
28%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 0
NSG
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GBA
2 - 0
OPA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OPA
2 - 2
LUB
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
OPA
2 - 0
SAI
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LUB
1 - 0
SIM
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
DIB
2 - 2
SIM
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NSG
1 - 1
SIM
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 3
DBL
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |