OC Pateadores Blues vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OC Pateadores Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
OCP
4 - 3
SEA
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
OCP
1 - 3
BYU
32%
24%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
OCP
0 - 1
VEN
14%
20%
67%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 5
GSM
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
3 - 5
VEN
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 1
TUC
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 4
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TUC
3 - 1
SEA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 1
ARI
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GSM
1 - 1
TUC
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |