OC Pateadores Blues vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OC Pateadores Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SEA
4 - 0
OCP
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BYU
5 - 0
OCP
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
OGD
4 - 2
OCP
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
OCP
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 1
OBS
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
OGD
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
BYU
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
OCP
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SEA
3 - 2
FRE
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |