Obolon vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
14º
71
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obolon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OBO
1 - 2
ZOR
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OBO
1 - 0
POL
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 0
OBO
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 1
SKD
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
OBO
1 - 1
CHO
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
KPT
2 - 2
SHA
21%
21%
58%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
MIN
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
KOL
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 2
HKR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 0
SHA
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |