Oberneuland vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
41
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 4
OBE
38%
21%
41%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OBE
4 - 1
LEH
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 3
OBE
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 4
HAN
23%
23%
55%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
DRO
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 3
SGA
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 2
WOL
16%
19%
66%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
BTN
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BLU
1 - 3
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 0
HAB
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |