Oberena vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
OBE
3 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
OBE
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
OBE
3 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 0
OBE
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
OBE
2 - 1
CAN
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
UDM
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 3
UDM
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
UDM
2 - 1
IDO
80%
14%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
UDM
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UDM
2 - 0
CDC
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |