Oberena vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ZAR
3 - 2
OBE
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
OBE
4 - 1
ATL
30%
26%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
OBE
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OBE
0 - 1
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 1
OBE
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
UDM
33%
27%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 0
PAM
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
UDM
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 2
TUD
31%
26%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |