Oberena vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
OBE
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 0
OBE
49%
25%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
OBE
3 - 0
CDA
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
IZA
3 - 1
OBE
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
IZA
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDM
31%
28%
42%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 1
MEN
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 1
UDM
28%
28%
44%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |