Oberena vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
TUD
4 - 2
OBE
66%
21%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 1
OBE
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
AOI
37%
28%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 0
OBE
31%
27%
42%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
OBE
2 - 0
ATL
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
SJU
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDM
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
UDM
2 - 1
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ART
1 - 2
UDM
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |