Oberena vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MUR
2 - 1
OBE
31%
28%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LAG
0 - 2
OBE
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
OBE
0 - 3
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
OBE
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
OBE
1 - 2
TUD
46%
27%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
UDM
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
UDM
4 - 1
AVA
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AZK
0 - 1
UDM
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDM
27%
28%
45%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 0
LAG
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |