Oberena vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 0
OBE
30%
28%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
OBE
2 - 1
LAG
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
OBE
23%
27%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
OBE
0 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SJU
0 - 0
OBE
20%
26%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 3
CDB
65%
22%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ART
1 - 0
UDM
26%
28%
46%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
UDM
0 - 2
LOU
66%
22%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HUA
4 - 1
UDM
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
UDM
3 - 1
MUR
56%
26%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |