Oberena vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ATL
2 - 0
OBE
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
OBE
0 - 2
EIB
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
IMP
1 - 0
OBE
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
TUD
4 - 0
OBE
72%
16%
11%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
OBE
2 - 0
IMP
34%
26%
41%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
RAY
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
RCF
1 - 1
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATH
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
RAY
2 - 0
SLA
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
RAY
50%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |