Obercorn vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BER
3 - 5
OBE
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OBE
1 - 6
UNA
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OBE
3 - 2
KEH
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 3
JEU
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 6
YBW
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UME
0 - 0
MAM
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
KOE
0 - 5
UME
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UME
3 - 1
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 0
UME
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
UME
3 - 0
BBM
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |