Obercorn vs Stengefort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16%
16.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
URE
1 - 3
OBE
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RBE
1 - 2
OBE
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
OBE
4 - 1
USS
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AVE
2 - 0
OBE
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 3
GRE
8%
15%
78%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 3
RBE
31%
22%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USS
2 - 0
FCS
42%
21%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
AVE
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
FCS
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 3
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |