Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
JUA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
ALE
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
ALE
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 3
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 0
CIM
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
LOB
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
ALE
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
0 - 1
CAF
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
0 - 0
VER
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |