Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+144%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
6º
3º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
0 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
4 - 1
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
ALM
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 1
OAK
16%
18%
66%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
OAK
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
DAN
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
DAN
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 3
DAN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 2
HEU
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MNG
2 - 1
DAN
9%
14%
77%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | -1 |