O Incio Terra Brava vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Incio Terra Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
INC
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
INC
3 - 1
CHA
68%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
INC
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
INC
2 - 1
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
INC
2 - 1
PAL
22%
22%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
BRO
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OUR
3 - 1
SLU
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
FRI
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
SLU
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
BEC
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |