O Incio Terra Brava vs SD Becerrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Incio Terra Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BRO
6 - 0
INC
54%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
INC
0 - 5
OUR
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
4 - 2
INC
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
INC
6 - 2
PAR
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 0
INC
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
SD Becerrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BEC
2 - 1
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BEC
3 - 2
QUI
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OUR
2 - 1
BEC
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BEC
1 - 0
PAL
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 2
BEC
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |