O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
OHI
1 - 0
FAM
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OHI
4 - 1
CSL
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
OHI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OHI
2 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
47%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ANT
5 - 0
UCO
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
CSL
2 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |