O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
OHI
1 - 3
UCH
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
OHI
0 - 1
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ULC
1 - 2
OHI
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
OHI
22%
23%
56%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 0
OHI
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CSD
2 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 3
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |