O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
OHI
2 - 2
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
OHI
1 - 0
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 0
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
OHI
1 - 0
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ANT
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CSD
0 - 0
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |