O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
OHI
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
OHI
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 3
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CUR
0 - 1
OHI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
OHI
2 - 2
IQU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
COL
4 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |