O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
COQ
1 - 2
OHI
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
OHI
4 - 1
PAL
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
OHI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ANT
1 - 1
OHI
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
OHI
3 - 3
LOT
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 2
UNI
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |