O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ANT
1 - 2
OHI
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
OHI
0 - 3
COB
21%
26%
52%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ACS
3 - 0
OHI
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
OHI
0 - 1
CSL
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
SWA
0 - 0
OHI
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 3
CSD
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
COQ
1 - 1
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |