O'Higgins vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
OHI
2 - 2
COB
51%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
OHI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
OHI
5 - 1
COL
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 2
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
OHI
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 4
UCO
24%
23%
53%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
UCO
64%
21%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAO
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
25%
23%
53%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
74%
16%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |