O Elvas vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
8º
6º
3
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
AMO
1 - 1
OEL
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OEL
1 - 4
ALE
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FAT
3 - 1
OEL
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 0
AMO
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAB
0 - 1
OEL
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FAT
0 - 1
ALE
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AMO
2 - 0
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FAT
3 - 1
OEL
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 0
FAT
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 0
FAT
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |