NZ Knights vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SYD
2 - 2
NZK
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 2
SFC
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 3
PER
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAP
4 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
ADE
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
PAP
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |