NWC vs SVN / Vossenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RKS
1 - 1
NWC
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NWC
1 - 3
OSS
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NWC
1 - 1
GSV
29%
24%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NWC
0 - 3
SPA
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HVV
3 - 2
NWC
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SVN / Vossenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
1 - 2
GSV
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HVV
2 - 0
SVN
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SVN
1 - 4
SPA
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HVC
3 - 0
SVN
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LHC
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +2 |