NWC vs Heidebloem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SVS
3 - 0
NWC
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NWC
1 - 3
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
NWC
2 - 0
SCH
32%
23%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TOP
1 - 2
NWC
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NWC
5 - 1
SVN
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heidebloem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HEI
4 - 1
GSV
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HVV
1 - 1
HEI
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 2
HEI
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HEI
0 - 2
HVC
27%
24%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LHC
2 - 2
HEI
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |