NVC vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PUR
3 - 3
NVC
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NVC
4 - 0
ROD
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DEK
0 - 0
NVC
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 2
JOS
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 2
NVC
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
USV
1 - 1
DEM
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
USV
2 - 1
PUR
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 0
USV
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USV
3 - 1
DEK
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 2
USV
35%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |