NVC vs De Kennemers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NVC
6 - 1
KFC
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 1
JOS
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DEZ
0 - 0
NVC
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NVC
3 - 2
FCB
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
NVC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
De Kennemers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 0
DEK
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEK
1 - 1
KFC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DWV
1 - 1
DEK
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DEK
1 - 0
JOS
29%
25%
47%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DEZ
3 - 1
DEK
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |