NVC vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DEK
2 - 0
NVC
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NVC
1 - 3
DEM
31%
24%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NVC
1 - 2
SDO
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
NVC
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NVC
1 - 1
JOS
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 2
ELI
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
AFC
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ZEE
2 - 1
AFC
48%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
UIT
67%
17%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
STO
3 - 1
AFC
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |