NVC vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
2 - 1
NVC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
NVC
3 - 2
PUR
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ROD
2 - 5
NVC
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 1
DEK
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NVC
6 - 1
KFC
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
4 - 1
ROD
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
DEK
0 - 0
AFC
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
KFC
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
6 - 1
DWV
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JOS
2 - 1
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |