Nuvla San Felice vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuvla San Felice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
3 - 0
NUV
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
NUV
1 - 2
ASD
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
2 - 2
NUV
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NUV
0 - 1
ASD
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
NUV
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CIT
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACS
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIC
3 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |