Nürnberg U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
13º
9º
48
2º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 1
NUR
21%
20%
60%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NUR
4 - 5
FRA
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
NUR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NUR
6 - 1
UBE
66%
18%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COT
1 - 3
NUR
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Stuttgart U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
SDH
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 4
STU
10%
15%
76%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STU
1 - 4
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 2
STU
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
STU
2 - 3
LEI
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |