Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
7º
4º
26
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 10 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 8 |
8º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
NUR
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 0
FSV
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
1 - 4
NUR
30%
21%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NUR
2 - 2
FRA
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SMS
0 - 4
NUR
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
KOF
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
5 - 2
FRA
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMS
2 - 0
MAI
38%
23%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 2
KAR
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 2
FSV
83%
10%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |