Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
3º
38
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 1 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
0 - 0
NUR
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NUR
4 - 2
ING
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RTL
1 - 3
NUR
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AWS
1 - 2
NUR
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NUR
2 - 0
KAR
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAI
4 - 3
STU
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AWS
0 - 5
MAI
20%
19%
62%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAI
4 - 0
HOF
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
MAI
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
KHK
1 - 6
MAI
4%
9%
88%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |