Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 1
NUR
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 1
EIC
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 0
NUR
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAY
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 3
ROS
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 3
ILL
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 2
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
MEM
0 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |