Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
NUR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 0
NUR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 1
EIN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 3
ILL
30%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
NUR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
BAY
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 3
EIN
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
MEM
1 - 6
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |